Analysis

Staking plans that survive variance

Flat, percentage, Kelly fraction: three plans, the same picks, and the drawdown each one would actually have put you through.

August 3, 2026 · 1 min read

The full article, written out with the numbers behind it.

What the model sees

Where the price and the projection disagree, and how much of that gap survives contact with the team news.

Basketball • Continental League

Pro

Verified analyst. Basketball • Continental League. Every pick time-stamped and graded in public.

+61.1%

Yield

Picks

75.0%

Hit rate

3.4k

Subs

$12.99/mo

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