Three top-ten withdrawals in four days have moved the projection further than any result did. The seedings are decided by ranking points, and the points are decided by who plays — which is why a week with no upsets has still reshuffled the top half of the draw.
Who moves up
Halvorsen’s wrist has opened a place in the top four for the first time since the spring, and the two players who benefit most both lost early in Toronto. That is how projections work: the field decides more than the winner does.
The cut-off
The entry list closes on Monday and the seedings follow the ranking of that morning. Any withdrawal after it promotes the next seed rather than reshuffling the draw, so the next 72 hours are the whole story.
- Two players are within 90 points of the eighth seed.
- The defending champion drops to fifth if she skips the final warm-up event.
- A qualifier has never been seeded; this year one is 140 points away.
