{"id":38299,"date":"2026-07-15T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-15T08:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/localhost:8888\/tennis-in-play-pricing-is-getting-sharper\/"},"modified":"2026-07-15T09:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-07-15T08:00:00","slug":"tennis-in-play-pricing-is-getting-sharper","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/tennis-in-play-pricing-is-getting-sharper\/","title":{"rendered":"Tennis in-play pricing is getting sharper"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"anps-post-betting__lead wp-block-paragraph\">Two summers ago the point-by-point tennis markets we measure carried a 6% overround on average across the operators that offered them. This July the figure is 4.5%, and at Lanterna \u2014 the tennis specialist in our guide \u2014 it is 4.1%. In-play tennis has gone from one of the most expensive markets in the guide to one that competes with pre-match football.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The cause is data. Operators now receive point-level feeds within a second of the umpire\u2019s call, and the pricing models built on them have matured. Two years ago the margin covered uncertainty about what had just happened on court; now it covers only the ordinary house edge. The operators that have not invested in the feed still price at 6% and above, and our monthly measurement names them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It changes which account a tennis bettor should hold. Lanterna streams every Continental Tour and Women\u2019s Tour match and prices game and set handicaps tighter than the generalists; Kestrel prices the pre-match markets sharpest; Stadion refreshes fastest in play. The sport page on this site ranks the fifteen on tennis specifically, and the retirement-rules guide covers the one rule that still varies more between operators than the price does.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Point-by-point markets that were 6% two years ago now sit closer to 4.5%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":32813,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_spx_person_id":0,"_spx_fixture_id":0,"_spx_pick_id":0,"_spx_eg_facts_label":"","_spx_eg_facts":"","_spx_figure_caption":"Point-by-point pricing has tightened by a point and a half in two years.","_spx_news_feat":"","_spx_video_url":"","_spx_duration":"","_spx_views":"","_spx_presenter":"","_spx_media_state":"","_spx_start_at":"","_spx_media_status":"","_spx_episode":"","_spx_subject":"","_spx_subject_role":"","_spx_story_year":"","_spx_duration_seconds":0,"_spx_view_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[234,243,341],"spx_comp":[],"spx_fixture_ref":[],"spx_series":[],"spx_format":[],"spx_video_kind":[],"spx_show":[],"spx_sport":[],"spx_flag":[],"class_list":["post-38299","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-live-betting","tag-markets","tag-tennis"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38299","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38299"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38299\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32813"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38299"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38299"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38299"},{"taxonomy":"spx_comp","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/spx_comp?post=38299"},{"taxonomy":"spx_fixture_ref","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/spx_fixture_ref?post=38299"},{"taxonomy":"spx_series","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/spx_series?post=38299"},{"taxonomy":"spx_format","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/spx_format?post=38299"},{"taxonomy":"spx_video_kind","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/spx_video_kind?post=38299"},{"taxonomy":"spx_show","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/spx_show?post=38299"},{"taxonomy":"spx_sport","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/spx_sport?post=38299"},{"taxonomy":"spx_flag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preview.sportpulse.anpsthemes.com\/betting\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/spx_flag?post=38299"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}